Cement News tagged under: carbon price

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EUA falls sharply pressured by gas and coal prices

25 July 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Still no fundamental or political news in the carbon market. The EUA prices followed the general market upwards and rallied from major support at EUR77 to EUR92 and now back in the middle EUR86. In August the auctions will be lower than previous months, which may bring some support to the market. In the EU manufacturers and households have seen demand destruction and savings on power demand, and as consumption has been lower, reducing the ...

Compliance buying in volatile markets sees EUA revisit highs

02 March 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark January and the start of February saw the return of compliance buying of EUAs with some market speculators believing the latest changes will support the EU ETS to remain strong within the EU green deal. The volatility of EUA prices has seen dramatic moves between EUR75 and back to highs at EUR97 without any specific news other than changing weather conditions and a relatively thin market.   EUA front-year contract, September 2021-Jan...

EUA prices consolidate at higher level awaiting policy decisions

23 January 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The increase in fossil fuels use for power generation is keeping the demand for EUAs relatively high. However, a mild winter start and a falling energy complex temper this trend. Therefore, a rally above EUR80 is not expected in the short term as an economic slowdown is expected to lead to demand destruction. Speculators have reduced their presence in terms of size and more short positions have been seen. The market is now awaiting politica...

EUA rising by end of year, driven by compliance and higher coal and gas prices

23 January 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark There has been very little direct news in the carbon market, as political discussions of changes to the EU ETS are still ongoing, and are driven by the movements in the fuel market. However, the market, which had been stuck in the EUR65-75 range, broke out to the upside as year end is approaching and compliance buying and short positions closing from speculative trades have propelled the market upwards. From a warm winter the start of ...

EUA prices consolidate at higher level awaiting policy decisions

28 November 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The increase in fossil fuels use for power generation is keeping the demand for EUAs relatively high. However, a mild winter start and a falling energy complex temper this trend. Therefore, a rally above EUR80 is not expected in the short term as an economic slowdown is expected to lead to demand destruction. Speculators have reduced their presence in terms of size and more short positions have been seen. The market is now awaiting politica...

EUA prices stay low due to recession fears and political uncertainty in the market

26 October 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark European carbon emissions were up eight per cent in the first three quarters of 2022  when compared to 2021. This is based on the sharp increase in coal- and oil-driven power production. The political debate of repowering the EU and the potential selling of 250m allowances has been hanging over the market. Increased auctions and the lower production seen in several industries, combined with several speculators going short, kept the market...

Carbon prices reflect demand destruction but kept up by increased coal consumption, awaiting new regulation

24 August 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Carbon prices tested the downside, due to fear of demand destruction and potential closing of production sites as a consequence of the lower gas deliveries. In addition to inflation, higher interest rates may dampen demand. However, in the short-term coal production has been increasing and several countries will reopen coal plants and even diesel is being used, increasing the demand for EUAs. Traders sold out when the price broke support a...

Price in uptrend, volatile carbon market driven by political statements of changes to EU-ETS

22 June 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Carbon prices traded inside their uptrend channel within EUR82-95 with high volatility. As the Clean Dark Spread still offers best value, more coal is being used and more EUAs are bought for compliance. The EUA has been influenced by new statements for reform to the EU-ETS system and a bullish increase of the targets for emission reductions, which conflicts with the proposed auction of 250m EUAs to fund the required REPowerEU Plan – which s...

Carbon prices rise due to increased coal demand – speculators return to the market

31 May 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Carbon prices rose above EUR85 as increased compliance buying was seen due to a sharp upturn of coal-fired power generation in the EU, resulting in an estimated 60Mt of additional emissions. The demand was three times higher than the auctioned amounts in the latest auction, significantly supporting the exchange traded market. The speculators, which disappeared during March, appear to have returned to the market following the rise in the...

UK cement and lime producers excluded from compensation scheme

06 May 2022, Published under Cement News

The Mineral Products Association (MPA) has expressed disappointment that UK cement and lime producers have been excluded from the government’s compensation scheme for climate change costs. Under the scheme, some energy-intensive industries can apply for compensation from the indirect costs of the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS) and Carbon Price Support (CPS) if they meet the criteria. According to the MPA, by excluding cement and lime, “the government has missed an opportunity to suppor...